The danger of Corona for the old people in Indonesia is not well recognized until now. And the Corona Virus will also spread here to the last island, when it is not stopped. But I think, it is already spread and not really detected now. Much to less people have been tested until now. To have copper and some days you feel tired, this is a normal thing in Indonesia. Also, that old people, when they are sick, then often the just die at home. How often this already happen, this nobody knows.
But there are some cases, where the way of the infection can not be detected. And here is the huge risk of a very fast spreading of the virus. In Europe the spreading of the virus is doubled in 2-3 days.
(Just a screenshot, where I got the information)
That means, if this are 200 people, what the Indonesian government are, then it will be just by the positive spreading only in 3 days to a double number of infections, than it will means in six days then it will be already 800 people, in 9 days 1600, in 12 days 3200, in 15 days 6200, in 18 days 12.400, in 21 days 24800, in 24 days 49.600, in 27 days 99.200, in 30 days 198.400, in 33 days 396.800, in 36 days 793. 600, in 39 days 1.597.200. In 42 days 3.194.400, in 45 days 6.388.800, in 48 days 12.777.600, in 51 days 25.555.200 in 54 days 51.111.400, in 57 days 102.222.800 in 60 days 204.444.800.
In two month all Indonesia is infected with the virus, when there are no actions to reduce the risk of an infection.
In Italy, because the virus already spread to fast already around 8 % of the infected people die. Here a screenshot from the John Hopkins University from the 17th of March 2020.
The people die, because to many need Oxygen at the same time and there have not been enough machines to give it. Out of this now Italy lock down all a few days ago. Everybody in the whole country has to stay at home. And already now the speed of the spreading is getting less. Yesterday already it take 4,7 days until the amount of infections is doubled.
China, South Korea, Singapore and other countries have shown, how the spread of the virus can be stopped. But all of them very testing in a huge scale and tracking each case until the end.
In Indonesia there is no government structure to track all the contacts, like in the other countries. We have to prepare ourselves, before we get the situation like in Italy.
What we are doing now in Silimalombu to make the Ecovillage save for us and for other?
We introduce now the following rules:
- Washing the hands with soap for 3 minutes
– for each guest, he want to enter our terrace or house
– each time, when somebody is going to prepare food or cleaning dishes
– Each time, when somebody want to eat something or smoke a cigarette
– after going to the toiletClick on the picture for a download
- Disinfecting the table where food is processed each day with 96 % Alkohol
- To preparing food it only can be done with a protecting mask or scarf.
- Keep distance to everybody come from outside for 2m
- Of course no handshaking
- After dish cleaning all plates are getting disinfecting with boiling water
– we have all the day a boiling hot water pot, where the dishes can go after cleaning.
- The dish cleaning sponge stay all the time in water more hot then 65 C.
- All the towels laying around in Indonesia in a kitchen are a huge potential for spreading the virus also:
We just make a bowl with hot water, where the towels go directly after usage.
- We take care of each other, that we don´t go with the hand to the mouth as a reflex. This we have to learn and it is only working, if we remain us all the time.
- Guest in our Restaurant can come, if they follow all this rules. We put them at our entrance, that everybody know this. The guests are getting served, they cannot take the food from the Buffet.
- Guest for our homestay also still can come, but for the first 14 days, they only get access to the eating table in front and not to the place behind. If somebody need a stay until the crisis is over still you are welcome to go with us through this time.
- Smoking is a double risk:
– for smoking you go with your hand to your mouth. You touch the lighter and the cigarettes, even you wash your hand before. It is a high risk!
– With smoking your make your body weak and specially the lungs, where the Coronavirus give you the disease. It is the best to stop smoking now! Especially, if you are over 50 years old. And also for the others around you give the smoke to their lungs.
- Out of this, smoking is not allowed in Silimalombu under a roof anymore. And go away from ANYBODY who can get the smoke from your Cigarette. This rule we will keep, even the Corona time is over!
- If somebody of us is going somewhere else, we follow also all this rules, that we don´t bring the virus to Silimalombu: We keep distance, we don shake hands, we wash our hands before smoking and we only eat outside, if the places, where we eat follow the same rules of hygienic in the kitchen.
- For this we developed a label, which everybody can print out and hang this in front of his guesthouse or also use this online, to give the people the safety of corona. Then our Guesthouses and Restaurants still can be open and don´t have to be closed like in already a lot of western countries.
- Soon we will upload a video, how we go around with risk and how we solve it, to reduce it to a minimum.
For us it is clear, that at the end of the Corona pandemic between 60 and 80 % of the Indonesian also will be infected. But we need time, that this is not getting to fast. The density of respiratory equipment in Indonesia is very rare. Better we have the time, that we can wait until there is a medicine against Covid 19 available in Indonesia.
If we look at the development in Italy, we cannot go the risk of a fast spreading. Even with the hygienic situation in Indonesia it will go much faster. Then it will not take only 2 month, it will be less then 1 month, that 80 % of the Indonesian are infected. And then you have the Letality of 8 % like in Italy this means from the 272.000.000 Inhabitants will die 21.760.000. And this is the risk!
I hope, that the virus is in the tropics much less dangerous. But no scientific say something like this until now. But if you look at the map of the John Hopkins University you see that in the moment the virus is only fully spread in the colder countries. But you also can say, there the population is getting tested and the less developed countries not. The time will show it, but better do the things now, which make it for the virus to dangerous to spread fast.
It needs action now and the other countries shows us, that it is possible to drop the risk down. China is now a safe place! Let us make us safe now and let us make our life enjoying again. We just have to take care a little bit and change some behaviors!
(just to know, we just are writing the side now, but if something is ready, that somebody can see it, we will publish it. Also if you have a good information for us, like somebody know a medicine, which is also available in Indonesia, we will be very very happy)
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